Thomas F. Epper
Academic website

I am a microeconomist with main research interests in decision making under uncertainty, intertemporal choice, inequality and redistribution. My research combines economic theory and quantitative methods with data from large-population experiments, detailed administrative registers, various markets, as well as public and private institutions.

• University of St. Gallen
• Center for Economic Behavior and Inequality (CEBI)
• Risk, Insurance and Savings Laboratory (RISLαβ)
• Previous affiliations:
  • University of Zurich, Department of Economics
  • ETH Zurich, Chair of Economics and Institute for Environmental Decisions (IED)
  • Laboratory for Social and Neural Systems Research (SNS Lab)
  • Swiss Center for Affective Sciences (NCCR-CISA)

• Email: mail@{{firstname}}{{lastname}}.com

• An Experimental Test of Integrative and Comparative Decision Making, with Cédric Müller and Philipp Zahn.
  • Keywords: Rank-dependent utility, salience, regret theory.

• Bounded Rationality in Risky Choice over Money and Effort, with Alexander Koch and Julia Nafziger.
  • Keywords: Asset integration, description invariance, reference dependence, choice bracketing.

• Preferences Predict Who Commits Crime Among Young Men, revision requested at the Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences (PNAS), with Ernst Fehr, Kristoffer Balle Hvidberg, Claus Thustrup Kreiner, Søren Leth-Petersen and Gregers Nytoft Rasmussen.
  • Keywords: Risk preferences, time preferences, social preferences, delinquency, criminal offences.

• Other-Regarding Preferences and Redistributive Politics, with Ernst Fehr and Julien Senn.
  • working paper (incl. appendix)
  • Keywords: Bayesian nonparametrics, social preference heterogeneity, inequality aversion, altruism, redistribution, voting.
• Parenting Values and the Intergenerational Transmission of Time Preferences, revision requested at the European Economic Review with Anne Ardila Brenøe.
  • working paper (incl. appendix)
  • Keywords: Parenting style, parental involvement, patience, preference transmission, socio-economic status, family background.
• Risk in Time: The Intertwined Nature of Risk Taking and Time Discounting, revision requested at the Journal of the European Economic Association, with Helga Fehr-Duda.
  • working paper (incl. appendix with an overview of probability weighting functions)
  • Keywords: Risk preferences, time preferences, interaction effects, increasing risk tolerance, hyperbolic discounting, preference for resolution of uncertainty, asset markets, insurance.
• The Uncertainty Triangle: Uncovering Heterogeneity in Attitudes Towards Uncertainty, Journal of Risk and Uncertainty, 60(2), pp.125-156, 2020, with Dan Burghart and Ernst Fehr.
  • published version; supplementary material
  • Keywords: Preference heterogeneity, expectation maximization (EM) algorithm, finite mixture model, ambiguity, Ellsberg urn.
• Time Discounting and Wealth Inequality, American Economic Review, 110(4), pp.1177-1205, 2020, with Ernst Fehr, Helga Fehr-Duda, Claus Thustrup Kreiner, David Dreyer Lassen, Søren Leth-Petersen and Gregers Nytoft Rasmussen.
  • published version; appendix
  • Keywords: Wealth inequality, savings behavior, patience, household finance.
• Risk Preferences Are Not Time Preferences: Balancing on a Budget Line: Comment, American Economic Review, 105(7), pp.2261-2271, 2015, with Helga Fehr-Duda.
  • published version; appendix with details on intertemporal risk aversion, etc
  • Keywords: Intertemporal diversification, risk preference, time preferences, intertemporal risk aversion, rank-dependent utility.
• Income Expectations, Limited Liquidity, and Anomalies in Intertemporal Choice.
  • working paper (incl. appendix)
  • Keywords: Hyperbolic discounting, magnitude effect, sign effect, time inconsistency.
• Probability and Risk: Foundations and Economic Implications of Probability-Dependent Risk Preferences, Annual Review of Economics, 4, pp.567-593, 2012, with Helga Fehr-Duda.
  • published version; technical appendix outlining an algorithm to nonparametrically estimate money and probability weights
  • Keywords: Underdiversification, small-scale insurance, equity premium puzzle, probability weighting, rank-dependent utility, disappointment aversion.
• Viewing the Future through a Warped Lens: Why Uncertainty Generates Hyperbolic Discounting, Journal of Risk and Uncertainty, 43(3), 169-203, 1022, 2011, with Adrian Bruhin and Helga Fehr-Duda.
  • published version (incl. appendix); previous version with results on subadditive discounting
  • Keywords: Present bias, probability weighting, risk preferences, time preferences, sub-additivity in intertemporal choice.
• Risk and Rationality: The Effect of Mood and Decision Rules on Probability Weighting, Journal of Economic Behavior and Organization, 78(1-2), 14-21, 201, 2011, with Adrian Bruhin, Helga Fehr-Duda and Renate Schubert.
  • published version
  • Keywords: Preference stability, risk preferences, mood, emotions.
• Risk and Rationality: Uncovering Heterogeneity in Probability Distortion, Econometrica, 78(4), 1375-1412, 2010, with Adrian Bruhin and Helga Fehr-Duda.
  • published version; appendix
  • Keywords: Finite mixture model, risk preference heterogeneity, probability weighting, prospect theory, expected utility theory.
• Rationality on the Rise; Why Relative Risk Aversion Increases with Stake Size, Journal of Risk and Uncertainty, 40(2), 147-180, 2010, with Adrian Bruhin, Helga Fehr-Duda and Renate Schubert.
  • published version (incl. appendix)
  • Keywords: Stake effects, increasing relative risk aversion, utility curvature, probability distortion.

• Experimental Validation of Common Patience Survey Measures, Center for Economic Behavior and Inequality, Technical Report, 2019, with Ernst Fehr, Claus Thustrup Kreiner, Søren Leth-Petersen and Gregers Nytoft Rasmussen.
  • technical report
  • Keywords: Time preferences, survey questions.
• Description of the Aarhus Survey, Aarhus University, Technical Report, 2018, with Alexander Koch and Julia Nafziger.
  • technical report
  • Keywords: Goal setting, risk preferences, survey design.
• Energy-Using Durables: The Role of Time Discounting in Investment Decisions, Swiss Federal Office of Energy (SFOE), Publication No. 290417, 2011, with Helga Fehr-Duda and Renate Schubert.
  • final report
  • Keywords: Energy efficiency, time discounting, hazard rate, liquidity constraints.

• Chaire d’excellence - Project: Identifying Behavioral Barriers to Tackling Climate Change, I-Site, 2021-2022, EUR 95,000, with Loïc Berger, Fabrice Le Lec, Uyanga Turmunkh and Vincent Théroude
• Risk, Betrayal, and Inequality: Decomposing the Trust Game, Research Foundation - Flanders (FWO), 2020, EUR 372,250, with Alexander Cappelen, Bertil Tungodden and Ferdinand Vieider
• The Role of the Intestinal Microbiome in Explaining Economic Preferences, Swiss National Science Foundation (SNSF) Spark grant, Principal investigator (joint with Christian Biener, University of St. Gallen), 2020-2021, CHF 98,300, with Andrew Macpherson (Inselspital Bern, project partner)
• Identifying Risk and Ambiguity Preferences Free from Context, Swiss National Science Foundation (SNSF), Principal investigator (joint with Christian Biener, University of St. Gallen), 2019-2022, CHF 529,787
• Go For It While You Can, Swiss National Science Foundation (SNSF), Principal investigator, 2019-2023, CHF 710,129, with Ferdinand Vieider (Ghent, co-investigator) and Mohammed Abdellaoui (HEC Paris, project partner)
• Contextuality in Choice, University of St. Gallen Basic Research Fund, Principal investigator, 2018-2019, CHF 33,903
• Theorizing on Observables - Experimenting with Axioms, Richard Büchner Foundation, Principal investigator (joint with Philipp Zahn, University of St. Gallen), 2017-2018, CHF 44,400
• and a number of other projects as a co-investigator or project partner

• University of Zurich, Ph.D. in Management and Economics, summa cum laude
• ETH Zurich, Diploma of Advanced Studies in Applied Statistics

• 2021:
  • Ranked #1 in the CNRS (French National Center for Scientific Research) Competitive Examinations (Section 37: Economics and Management) for Research Director positions
• 2020:
  • Financial Times 50 Success Fee, awarded by the University of St. Gallen, CHF 10,000
  • Success fee for acquiring a Swiss National Science Foundation (SNSF) SPARK grant, CHF 24,575
• 2019:
  • Success fee for acquiring a Swiss National Science Foundation (SNSF) grant, awarded by the University of St. Gallen, CHF 40,000
• 2018:
  • Success fee for acquiring a Swiss National Science Foundation (SNSF) grant, awarded by the University of St. Gallen, CHF 40,000
• 2017:
  • Latsis prize of the University of St. Gallen for work on microeconomics, CHF 25,000
• 2016:
  • Teaching load reduction for Top-Top publications, University of St. Gallen

• Google Scholar: 1372 citations; h-index: 14; i10-index: 14
• RePEc IDEAS: Top 8% (last 10 years publications); previously: Top 200 Young Economists worldwide (10 years or less)
• SSRN: Top 10% authors by total new downloads within the last 12 months

• 40+ manuscripts for American Economic Review, Econometrica, Journal of Finance, Review of Economic Studies
• Numerous manuscripts for Nature Communications, American Economic Journal: Microeconomics, Journal of Economic Theory, Journal of European Economic Association, Management Science, Scandinavian Journal of Economics, European Economic Review, Economic Journal, Journal of Risk and Uncertainty, Journal of Risk and Insurance, Experimental Economics, Journal of Economic Behavior and Organziation, The Geneva Risk and Insurance Review, Theory and Decision, Operations Research, and Economics Letters
• European Research Commission (ERC)